If the stock falls 45% from those highs we would be looking at $340.15, which isn’t a bad spot to be from where we are now. However, if we get the deeper drop, then we are looking at $198.85, which is negative return after 4 5 years.Given the fact we got such a wide range using very optimistic vs. Very pessimistic estimates, I am inclined to dial them both back a little bit to make them more realistic.

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